b. 1974
Arif Ahmed is a British analytic philosopher at the University of Cambridge best known for his systematic defense of evidential decision theory (EDT) against causal decision theory. His work engages with foundational issues in decision theory, epistemology, and the philosophy of probability, with particular attention to how agents should reason under uncertainty. He has also contributed to debates in philosophy of religion concerning the epistemic force of probabilistic and evidential arguments.
Leading contemporary defender of evidential decision theory (EDT)
Authored 'Evidence, Decision and Causality' (Cambridge University Press, 2014)
Influential analysis of Newcomb's problem and its implications for rational agency
Contributions to debates on self-locating belief, including the Sleeping Beauty problem
Critical engagement with probabilistic arguments in epistemology and philosophy of religion