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    Carmelics

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    LoyalLoyalJusticeJustice
    Made withinDC&Austin
    Statements
    321,452
    Perspectives
    108,905
    Topics
    42
    Home/Original/inverse
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    Inverse View

    It is not the case that A bias that produces accurate outputs only incidentally—through correlation with a narrow task—lacks the counterfactual robustness required to count as epistemically adaptive.

    ?Set your confidence on the premises below to see your aggregate.

    Reasons For

    1 perspective
    Reason for
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    • 1.Evolution selects for actual survival outcomes, not mechanisms—a bias succeeding repeatedly is adaptively sufficient.
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    • 2.Counterfactual robustness is unknowable in principle; demanding it sets an unrealistic epistemic standard.
      ?

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    • 3.Narrow-task accuracy can still be instrumentally valuable and rationally usable without broad counterfactual stability.
      ?

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    Reasons Against

    1 perspective
    Reason against
    ?
    • 1.Epistemic virtues require reliability across counterfactual scenarios, not just accidental success in one domain.
      ?

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    • 2.A bias that correlates with accuracy only narrowly cannot generalize or transfer, limiting its rational justification.
      ?

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    • 3.Incidental accuracy lacks the causal mechanism linking the bias to truth-tracking needed for genuine adaptation.
      ?

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