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It is not the case that A fragile vase retains its disposition to shatter even if never struck, meaning the causal law holds without any conjunction of events ever occurring.
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Reasons For
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Reason for
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1.
Dispositions are fundamentally counterfactual: saying something 'is fragile' means 'would shatter if struck,' which requires possible scenarios.
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2.
Causal laws are regularities describing actual or possible event patterns; a law with zero instantiations may be vacuous or indeterminate.
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3.
The vase's molecular structure explains fragility, but structure alone doesn't constitute a causal law without event relationships to ground it.
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Reasons Against
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Reason against
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1.
Dispositions are intrinsic properties grounded in an object's physical structure, independent of whether triggering conditions occur.
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2.
Causal laws describe relationships between properties that exist necessarily, not contingent on actual events instantiating them.
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3.
A vase's fragility explains why striking it causes shattering; this explanatory role doesn't require the striking to actually happen.
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