Bayesian updating properly weights how well competing hypotheses predict observations; if aesthetic deism generates better predictions about natural structure, evidence accumulates for it.

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Bayesian updating(in probability and epistemology): A mathematical method for revising how confident you are in a belief when you receive new evidence, named after an 18th-century mathematician named Bayes.
Deism(Enlightenment philosophy of religion): The form of religion according to which the natural light of reason reveals that the universe is created and governed by a supreme intelligence, but this supreme being does not interfere with creation after establishing its plan; deism rejects miracles, special revelation, and the divinity of Christ in favor of rational natural religion
Evidence accumulates(as used in epistemology): The more observations and facts support an idea, the stronger the case becomes for believing it.
Natural structure(as used in metaphysics): The patterns, organization, and design we observe in the physical world—like how atoms form molecules or how ecosystems balance themselves.

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