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    Boyd and Putnam argue that the predictive success of matu... — Carmelics
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    Challenges→Theory choice is underdetermined by empirical evidence.

    Boyd and Putnam argue that the predictive success of mature scientific theories is best explained by their approximate truth, making radical underdetermination epistemically self-undermining.

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    Reasons For

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    Reason for
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    • 1.Mature theories like Newton's mechanics and electromagnetism have made thousands of novel, precise predictions confirmed by experiment.
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    • 2.If radically different theories could equally explain all evidence, convergence on specific theories across independent research programs would be miraculous.
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    • 3.Approximate truth provides the only non-miraculous explanation for why false theories systematically fail to predict novel phenomena.
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    Reasons Against

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    Reason against
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    • 1.History shows successful theories (Ptolemaic astronomy, phlogiston chemistry) made accurate predictions yet were fundamentally false about reality.
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    • 2.Predictive success may result from pragmatic fit to observable patterns rather than correspondence to truth about unobservable structures.
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    • 3.Boyd and Putnam assume mature science identifies which aspects of theories are truth-tracking, but theory choice criteria are themselves underdetermined by evidence.
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    Key Terms

    Approximate truth(as used in philosophy of science)
    When a theory is mostly correct or close to being correct, even if it's not completely accurate in every detail.
    Boyd(as a key Cornell realist philosopher)
    Richard Boyd, a philosopher who argues that moral properties like 'goodness' are actually natural properties we can discover, similar to how scientists discover facts about chemistry.
    Epistemically self-undermining(as a criticism of underdetermination as a theory)
    When a philosophical idea defeats itself by logic—if the idea is true, it proves itself wrong or makes no sense.
    Mature scientific theories(as the type of theory being discussed)
    Well-developed, thoroughly tested scientific theories that have been refined over time (like the theory of evolution or gravity), rather than young or speculative ideas.
    Putnam
    # Putnam "Putnam" most commonly refers to **Hilary Putnam** (1926-2016), an influential American philosopher who made major contributions to philosophy of mind, language, and science. He is famous for thought experiments like the "brain in a vat" scenario, which explores questions about reality and how we know what's real. His work fundamentally changed how philosophers think about the relationship between our minds, language, and the external world.
    Radical underdetermination(as a challenge to scientific knowledge)
    The philosophical problem that many completely different theories could all explain the same observations equally well, so we can't be sure which one is actually true based on evidence alone.
    epistemology(Contrasted with purely descriptive scientific inquiry)
    A normative enterprise that tells us how we ought to reason from evidence and how we ought to justify our beliefs, as distinct from merely describing how we do reason or justify beliefs
    predictive success(Second root of virtuous predictivism)
    The empirical demonstration that the entailed consequence N is true

    Connections

    2 topics

    Truth & Knowledge1 linkedSkepticism1 linked

    Related

    Approximate truth provides the only non-miraculous explanation for why false the...Boyd and Putnam assume mature science identifies which aspects of theories are t...

    Details

    Type
    claim
    Perspectives
    2 (1 for, 1 against)
    Edits
    1 edit
    History shows successful theories (Ptolemaic astronomy, phlogiston chemistry) ma...
    If radically different theories could equally explain all evidence, convergence ...
    +3 moreShow less
    Mature theories like Newton's mechanics and electromagnetism have made thousands...Predictive success may result from pragmatic fit to observable patterns rather t...Theory choice is underdetermined by empirical evidence.