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    Carmelics

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    Directing inquiry based on biased plausibility assessment... — Carmelics
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    Challenges→A hypothesis being plausible means the hypothesis has epistemic support warranting further investigation.

    Directing inquiry based on biased plausibility assessments can entrench false hypotheses rather than advance knowledge.

    ?Rate how convincing each reason is below to see the overall strength.
    1 reason for
    1 reason against

    Reasons For

    1 perspective
    Reason for
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    • 1.Confirmation bias causes researchers to preferentially seek evidence supporting implausible initial beliefs, creating self-reinforcing false narratives.
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    • 2.Resource constraints mean inquiry time spent on low-plausibility hypotheses is unavailable for investigating genuinely promising research directions.
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    • 3.Published false conclusions from biased inquiry become institutional knowledge, misleading future researchers and compounding initial errors.
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    Reasons Against

    1 perspective
    Reason against
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    • 1.Most scientific breakthroughs initially seemed implausible; dismissing low-plausibility hypotheses would have prevented major discoveries.
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    • 2.Biased plausibility assessments reflect genuine expertise; ignoring them requires resources for exploring obviously unworkable approaches.
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    • 3.Entrenchment occurs through institutional and social factors, not plausibility judgments themselves; unbiased inquiry can still entrench errors.
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    Key Terms

    knowledge(Distinguished from mere true belief, which may be the product of indoctrination and need not exercise deliberative capacities.)
    Justified true belief — true belief that has been arrived at through the exercise of deliberative capacities, including comparison of and deliberation among alternatives.

    Connections

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    Truth & Knowledge1 linkedSkepticism1 linked

    Related

    A hypothesis being plausible means the hypothesis has epistemic support warranti...Biased plausibility assessments reflect genuine expertise; ignoring them require...Confirmation bias causes researchers to preferentially seek evidence supporting ...Entrenchment occurs through institutional and social factors, not plausibility j...
    +3 moreShow less
    Most scientific breakthroughs initially seemed implausible; dismissing low-plaus...Published false conclusions from biased inquiry become institutional knowledge, ...

    Details

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    claim
    Perspectives
    2 (1 for, 1 against)
    Edits
    1 edit
    Resource constraints mean inquiry time spent on low-plausibility hypotheses is u...