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    Carmelics

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    LoyalLoyalJusticeJustice
    Made withinDC&Austin
    Statements
    321,452
    Perspectives
    108,905
    Topics
    42
    Home/Original/inverse
    See Original
    Inverse View

    It is not the case that Elite manipulation, not spontaneous coordination equilibria, drove ethnic mobilization in both Rwanda and Yugoslavia (Snyder, Kaufman).

    ?Set your confidence on the premises below to see your aggregate.

    Reasons For

    1 perspective
    Reason for
    ?
    • 1.Pre-existing ethnic divisions, resource competition, and historical grievances in both regions generated genuine mass preferences independent of elite messaging.
      ?

      Think about whether this reason is strong or weak

    • 2.Distinguishing 'elite manipulation' from 'mobilization of existing sentiment' is empirically difficult; elites may amplify rather than create demand.
      ?

      Think about whether this reason is strong or weak

    • 3.Local participation rates and decentralized violence suggest ordinary people made autonomous choices, not merely followed elite orchestration.
      ?

      Think about whether this reason is strong or weak

    Reasons Against

    1 perspective
    Reason against
    ?
    • 1.Rwandan genocide required centralized planning: radio broadcasts, roadblocks, and lists targeting specific individuals show deliberate elite coordination.
      ?

      Think about whether this reason is strong or weak

    • 2.Serbian nationalism was dormant until Milošević's speeches and media campaigns in late 1980s activated latent ethnic identities for political gain.
      ?

      Think about whether this reason is strong or weak

    • 3.Spontaneous coordination would produce localized violence; instead both cases show coordinated campaigns across regions, indicating top-down direction.
      ?

      Think about whether this reason is strong or weak

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