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    Elliott Sober argues that IBE in science requires likelih... — Carmelics
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    Challenges→The teleological argument can succeed even if the analogies it relies on are not exact, because it functions as an argument to the best explanation

    Elliott Sober argues that IBE in science requires likelihoods grounded in known frequencies or mechanisms, which theism cannot supply since we have no independent base rate for universe-creating gods.

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    Key Terms

    Elliott Sober(as the originator of the model-to-target inference framework)
    A philosopher of science who studies how scientists figure out which explanations best match reality; he's particularly known for work on evolution and reasoning.
    IBE(Discussed in the context of its compatibility with Bayesian epistemology)
    Inference to the Best Explanation — a mode of inference in which one infers a hypothesis because it best explains the available evidence
    Mechanisms(as used to describe biological processes)
    The specific ways or processes by which something works or produces an effect.
    base rate(epistemology and statistics)
    How common or likely something is in general, before you consider any specific new information. For example, heart attacks are less common than anxiety, so anxiety has a higher base rate.

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    likelihoods(Bayesian confirmation theory)
    The probability of the evidence given a particular hypothesis, used in conjunction with prior probabilities to determine expectedness
    theism(Distinguished from monotheism as a weaker claim about the number of divine beings.)
    The position that at least one god exists.

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    The teleological argument can succeed even if the analogies it relies on are not...

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