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    Carmelics

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    LoyalLoyalJusticeJustice
    Made withinDC&Austin
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    Home/Original/inverse
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    Inverse View

    It is not the case that Expected utility calculations assign probabilities to outcomes based on the agent's epistemic state, not the act's causal structure.

    ?Set your confidence on the premises below to see your aggregate.

    Reasons For

    1 perspective
    Reason for
    ?
    • 1.An act's causal structure determines which outcomes actually follow from it; rational agents should track actual consequences, not mere beliefs.
      ?

      Think about whether this reason is strong or weak

    • 2.Two agents with identical beliefs but different causal structures face genuinely different decision problems with different objectively optimal solutions.
      ?

      Think about whether this reason is strong or weak

    • 3.Expected utility theory should correct agents toward accurate causal models, not merely codify whatever probabilities they happen to assign.
      ?

      Think about whether this reason is strong or weak

    Reasons Against

    1 perspective
    Reason against
    ?
    • 1.Agents only have access to information in their epistemic state; causal facts unknown to them cannot rationally guide their decisions.
      ?

      Think about whether this reason is strong or weak

    • 2.Two agents with identical beliefs but different objective causal structures should make identical rational choices given identical options.
      ?

      Think about whether this reason is strong or weak

    • 3.Probability assignments in decision theory reflect degrees of belief, which are inherently features of the agent's mind, not of the world.
      ?

      Think about whether this reason is strong or weak

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    Explore the most compelling reason on the other side.