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    Carmelics

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    LoyalLoyalJusticeJustice
    Made withinDC&Austin
    Statements
    321,452
    Perspectives
    108,905
    Topics
    42
    Home/Original/inverse
    See Original
    Inverse View

    It is not the case that Hume's challenge concerns the justification of inductive inference, not the updating of prior probabilities given new evidence.

    ?Set your confidence on the premises below to see your aggregate.

    Reasons For

    1 perspective
    Reason for
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    • 1.Bayesian inference *is* inductive inference—updating priors with evidence embodies the same justificatory demands Hume raised about induction.
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    • 2.Hume's skepticism applies equally to both: why assume past frequency ratios ground future predictions, whether via rules or probability calculus?
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    • 3.Distinguishing inference-justification from probability-updating creates a false dichotomy; they're continuous aspects of the same epistemic process.
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    Reasons Against

    1 perspective
    Reason against
    ?
    • 1.Hume questioned why unobserved cases should resemble observed ones—a problem distinct from applying Bayes' rule to update existing credences.
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    • 2.Bayesian updating presupposes inductive principles are justified; it doesn't address Hume's fundamental skepticism about induction itself.
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    • 3.The problem of the uniformity of nature, central to Hume's challenge, concerns justifying new inferences, not mechanical probability revision.
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