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    Home/Original/inverse
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    Inverse View

    It is not the case that If miracle evidence partially grounds theism rather than merely depending on it, then P(M|E) cannot be cleanly conditionalized on prior theistic probability without circularity.

    ?Set your confidence on the premises below to see your aggregate.

    Reasons For

    1 perspective
    Reason for
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    • 1.Partial grounding need not violate probabilistic independence; a factor can both ground a conclusion and remain probabilistically distinct for conditioning purposes.
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    • 2.P(M|E) represents likelihood under theistic hypothesis; that theism explains miracles doesn't require prior P(T) to enter the conditional probability calculation itself.
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    • 3.Many successful Bayesian models condition on dependent variables without circularity; formal independence assumptions differ from conceptual grounding relations.
      ?

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    Reasons Against

    1 perspective
    Reason against
    ?
    • 1.Bayesian conditioning assumes prior and likelihood factors are conceptually independent; miracle evidence partly constituting theism violates this independence.
      ?

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    • 2.If theism's truth partially explains why miracles occur, then P(M|E) inherently references theistic content, making prior P(T) unavoidably embedded in likelihood calculation.
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    • 3.Standard Bayesianism requires factors grounding conclusions to be analytically separable; partial grounding creates explanatory entanglement preventing clean separation.
      ?

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