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    If Sophia is ignorant about the color of a marble, the Pr... — Carmelics
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    Challenges→The Principle of Indifference leads to contradictory results when the partition in question is not held fixed.

    If Sophia is ignorant about the color of a marble, the Principle of Indifference requires her to assign equal probability to each color in the partition.

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    The Principle of Indifference leads to contradictory results when the partition ...These two applications of the Principle of Indifference yield conflicting probab...Under a partition of many colors, Sophia must assign low probability to Blue, ma...

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    Under a partition of many colors, Sophia must assign low probability t...90%Ignorance about the color of a marble requires equal probability distr...88%An agent who is ignorant about the color of a marble is thereby render...80%If the partition contains many colors, each color receives probability...80%

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    SEP: formal-belief
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    Subjective probability theory models ignorance with respect to a proposition \(A\) by assigning probability of .5 to \(A\) and its complement \(\neg A\). More generally, an agent with subjective probability Pr is said to be ignorant with respect to the partition \(\{A_{1},\ldots,A_{n}\}\) if and only if \(\Pr(A_{i}) = 1/n\). The Principle of Indifference requires a doxastic agent to distribute her subjective probabilities in this fashion whenever, roughly, the agent lacks evidence of the relevan

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