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    If the epistemic value of prediction requires applicabili... — Carmelics
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    Challenges→Chaos models provide limited but important predictive insight, not a complete failure of prediction.

    If the epistemic value of prediction requires applicability to particular outcomes, statistical descriptions of attractors fail the standard set by Hempel's covering-law model of scientific explanation.

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    Key Terms

    Applicability to particular outcomes(as a requirement for epistemic value)
    The ability to actually apply a general rule or description to real, specific situations that happen in the world.
    Carl Hempel(as a philosopher of science)
    A 20th-century philosopher of science who tried to explain how scientists actually confirm or test their theories through logic.
    Epistemic value(as used in epistemology and value theory)
    Value that comes from knowledge or understanding—basically, the worth of knowing something is true rather than being ignorant about it.
    Hempel's covering-law model(as the standard being applied to evaluate statistical descriptions)
    A theory by philosopher Carl Hempel that says a scientific explanation works when you show how a specific event is covered by or follows from general scientific laws.

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    Statistical descriptions(as a type of explanation being evaluated)
    General patterns or summaries based on data and probability, rather than descriptions of exact individual cases.
    attractors(Dynamical system theory; used in Saatsi 2017's strengthened indispensability argument)
    Mathematical structures in dynamical system theory toward which a system tends to evolve over time, used by Saatsi as a test case for assessing the explanatory role of mathematics.
    prediction(Used to distinguish genuine future-directed claims from reports of present appearances within a critique of Protagorean relativism.)
    An assertion about how things will appear or be the case at a future time, as distinct from a remark about how things presently seem.
    scientific explanation
    An explanation based on evidence drawn from examining the natural world, subject to modification or abandonment when conflicting observations or experiments arise.

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    Causation1 linkedSkepticism1 linked

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    Chaos models provide limited but important predictive insight, not a complete fa...

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