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    Carmelics

    A reasoning platform. Break down any belief into clear reasons, explore both sides, and weigh the evidence honestly.

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    LoyalLoyalJusticeJustice
    Made withinDC&Austin
    Statements
    321,452
    Perspectives
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    42
    Home/Original/inverse
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    Inverse View

    It is not the case that Imagination is not a safe indication of real possibility, even when such possibility is not eliminable a priori.

    ?Set your confidence on the premises below to see your aggregate.

    Reasons For

    2 perspectives
    Reason for 1 of 2
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    • 1.Conceivability that survives all a priori and a posteriori scrutiny constitutes prima facie evidence of metaphysical possibility (Chalmers, 2002).
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    • 2.The Kripkean cases involve imaginings that dissolve under empirical pressure, whereas some conceivings—such as phenomenal zombies—resist all such debunking explanations.
      ?

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    • 3.A blanket inference from 'imagination can mislead' to 'imagination is unsafe' commits the fallacy of accident by treating defeasible evidence as no evidence.
      ?

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    Reason for 2 of 2
    ?
    • 1.Modal rationalism holds that ideal rational reflection on a concept's primary intension reliably tracks whether it is coherently instantiable (Jackson, 1998).
      ?

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    • 2.The Hesperus/Phosphorus cases reveal failures of non-ideal conceiving, not failures of the conceivability-possibility link itself under idealized conditions.
      ?

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    Reasons Against

    1 perspective
    Reason against
    ?
    • 1.We can imagine that a posteriori necessities might be false (e.g., that Hesperus might not be identical to Phosphorus).
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    • 2.If Kripke is correct, such imagined scenarios are not real possibilities.
      ?

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    • 3.Many epistemic possibilities are imaginable precisely because they are epistemic possibilities, not because they are real possibilities.
      ?

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    Next step

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    Strongest counterpoint
    Explore the most compelling reason on the other side.