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    Carmelics

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    Made withinDC&Austin
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    Home/Original/inverse
    See Original
    Inverse View

    It is not the case that Indicative conditionals should be interpreted as conditional events

    ?Set your confidence on the premises below to see your aggregate.

    Reasons For

    2 perspectives
    Reason for 1 of 2
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    • 1.Stalnaker and Lewis's possible-worlds semantics assigns truth conditions to conditionals independently of any probabilistic framework.
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    • 2.If conditionals have determinate truth values in worlds where the antecedent is false, they cannot be mere conditional events lacking truth values.
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    • 3.Connexive theses like Aristotle's can be evaluated under possible-worlds semantics without assigning them probability 1, undermining the empirical argument.
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    Reason for 2 of 2
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    • 1.Edgington's conditional event interpretation entails that conditionals are not genuine propositions and cannot embed in complex Boolean contexts.
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    • 2.Natural language permits conditionals to appear as antecedents of other conditionals, as in 'If (if p then q) then r', which requires propositional embedding.
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    • 3.A semantics that cannot compositionally handle iterated conditionals fails a basic adequacy condition for any serious theory of indicative conditionals.
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    Reasons Against

    1 perspective
    Reason against
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    • 1.Empirical findings on Aristotle's theses are strong evidence for the conditional event interpretation
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    • 2.The conditional event interpretation predicts that people should strongly believe Aristotle's theses are valid
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    • 3.The only coherent probability assessment for Aristotle's theses under the conditional event interpretation is probability value 1
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    Strongest counterpoint
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