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    Intrinsic probability assignments require a well-defined ... — Carmelics
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    Challenges→Source physicalism is many times more probable intrinsically than omni-theism.

    Intrinsic probability assignments require a well-defined reference class, which neither physicalism nor theism possesses without prior metaphysical commitments.

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    1 reason for
    1 reason against

    Reasons For

    1 perspective
    Reason for
    ?
    • 1.Reference classes require boundaries; physicalism's 'all physical systems' and theism's 'all possible worlds' lack objective demarcation criteria.
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    • 2.Probability assignments presuppose what counts as similar cases; both worldviews smuggle in unstated similarity metrics from prior commitments.
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    • 3.Neither framework derives its reference class from neutral logical principles alone—each requires metaphysical assumptions about fundamentality or necessity.
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    Reasons Against

    1 perspective
    Reason against
    ?
    • 1.Reference classes don't require absolute independence from background theory; all probability uses domain-specific classes (coins, particles, voters).
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    • 2.Physicalism and theism can each define reference classes internally: physical states satisfying the same laws, or divine possibilities consistent with omniscience.
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    • 3.The claim conflates 'requiring metaphysical commitments' with 'lacking well-definedness'—commitment and clarity are distinct issues.
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    Connections

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    Natural Theology1 linked

    Related

    Neither framework derives its reference class from neutral logical principles al...Physicalism and theism can each define reference classes internally: physical st...Probability assignments presuppose what counts as similar cases; both worldviews...Reference classes don't require absolute independence from background theory; al...
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    Reference classes require boundaries; physicalism's 'all physical systems' and t...Source physicalism is many times more probable intrinsically than omni-theism.The claim conflates 'requiring metaphysical commitments' with 'lacking well-defi...

    Details

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    claim
    Perspectives
    2 (1 for, 1 against)
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