Skip to content
Carmelics
TopicsThinkersChangesContributorsLoading account…

    Carmelics

    A reasoning platform. Break down any belief into clear reasons, explore both sides, and weigh the evidence honestly.

    Navigate

    • Topics
    • Search
    • Recent Changes
    • Contribute
    • How It Works
    • Glossary
    • Thinkers
    • Contributors
    • About
    • Statistics
    • Terms
    • Privacy

    Database

    Statements
    —
    Perspectives
    —
    Topics
    —

    Press ? for keyboard shortcuts

    LoyalLoyalJusticeJustice
    Made withinDC&Austin
    Statements
    321,452
    Perspectives
    108,905
    Topics
    42
    Keynes himself advocated for principled selection of refe... — Carmelics
    Home
    HistoryEditSee Inverse

    Part of a larger discussion

    Challenges→Keynes demonstrated in his Treatise on Probability that the reference class of 'equipossible' outcomes changes with how the problem is described, yielding contradictory probability values for identical events.

    Keynes himself advocated for principled selection of reference classes based on relevant evidence, not abandonment of equipossibility frameworks.

    ?Rate how convincing each reason is below to see the overall strength.

    No one has weighed in yet. Be the first to share reasons for or against this statement.

    Sign in or register to share your perspective on this statement.

    Connections

    1 linked claim

    Keynes demonstrated in his Treatise on Probability that the reference class of '...

    Related

    Keynes demonstrated in his Treatise on Probability that the reference class of '...

    Details

    Type
    premise
    Perspectives

    Next step

    Based on where you are in your exploration

    Explore a random proposition
    Start fresh with something unrelated.
    0 (0 for, 0 against)

    Open for perspectives

    This idea is waiting for its first supporting or challenging perspective.

    Share the first perspective