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    Carmelics

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    LoyalLoyalJusticeJustice
    Made withinDC&Austin
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    Home/Original/inverse
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    Inverse View

    It is not the case that Laudan's pessimistic meta-induction shows that historically successful scientific strategies are routinely abandoned as frameworks change, undermining confidence in their continuation.

    ?Set your confidence on the premises below to see your aggregate.

    Reasons For

    1 perspective
    Reason for
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    • 1.Abandoned strategies often survive as special cases (Newtonian mechanics as limit of relativity), preserving rather than refuting them.
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    • 2.Success may track cumulative progress in capturing real structures, not arbitrary fashion—unlike purely social practices that genuinely disappear.
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    • 3.Pessimistic induction assumes old success predicts new failure, but new frameworks usually improve on old predictions in shared domains.
      ?

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    Reasons Against

    1 perspective
    Reason against
    ?
    • 1.Phlogiston theory was empirically successful yet abandoned when oxygen framework emerged, exemplifying pattern across science.
      ?

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    • 2.Current successful methods (regression models, classical mechanics) will likely seem outdated within centuries, suggesting no immunity.
      ?

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    • 3.If past success didn't guarantee continued use, induction from present success to future reliability commits the same error.
      ?

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