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It is not the case that Leibniz's own modal bifurcation presupposes a robust contingency that Spinozistic rationalism systematically undermines from within the rationalist tradition.
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Reasons For
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Reason for
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1.
Leibniz's own monads are causally isolated and deterministic within each monad; his contingency is merely epistemic, not metaphysical, like Spinoza's.
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2.
Spinoza's necessitarianism doesn't undermine contingency from within rationalism—it redefines it as freedom through rational understanding, not logical independence.
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3.
Both systems struggle equally with grounding contingency; Leibniz smuggles it in via God's will while Spinoza denies it entirely—neither solves the problem.
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Reasons Against
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Reason against
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1.
Leibniz's complete concepts require contingency: if all truths followed from pure reason alone, predicates couldn't be genuinely included in substances.
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2.
Spinoza's necessitarianism collapses the distinction Leibniz draws between logical necessity and metaphysical contingency that grounds modal difference.
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3.
Within rationalism, only Leibniz preserves libertarian agency; Spinoza's system makes all events follow necessarily from God's nature, eroding contingency.
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