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    On a Bayesian framework, prior probability 1 assigned to ... — Carmelics
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    Challenges→Assigning support value 1 to contingent statements on every possible premise makes inductive logic enthymematic.

    On a Bayesian framework, prior probability 1 assigned to a contingent statement C is a coherent idealization reflecting an agent's incorrigible commitment, not a suppressed premise.

    ?Rate how convincing each reason is below to see the overall strength.

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    Key Terms

    Bayesian framework(as the method Howson and Urbach use to analyze historical arguments)
    A mathematical approach to reasoning about uncertainty that uses probabilities to update what we believe when we encounter new evidence.
    Coherent idealization(as a methodological approach in philosophy)
    A simplified or imaginary version of something that makes logical sense and can be used in thinking, even if it doesn't exist perfectly in real life.
    Incorrigible commitment(in epistemology (the study of knowledge))
    A belief or dedication that someone absolutely refuses to give up or change, no matter what evidence or arguments come their way.
    Prior probability(Used to argue that theism's low prior probability is not overcome by ambiguous or absent evidence)
    The intrinsic probability of a hypothesis before taking any evidence into account

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    Probability 1(as used in mathematics and probability theory)
    A certainty; something that is absolutely guaranteed to happen (as opposed to being merely likely).
    contingent statement(Contrasted with logical truths; the proper domain of inductive evaluation)
    A statement whose truth-value is not logically necessary — it could in principle be supported or undermined by evidence.
    suppressed premise(Used by moral skeptics to expose hidden normative commitments in naturalist arguments)
    An unstated premise that a deductive argument implicitly relies upon in order for the inference to be valid

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    Truth & Knowledge1 linkedSkepticism1 linked

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    Assigning support value 1 to contingent statements on every possible premise mak...

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