Popper and Miller (1983) demonstrated that probabilistic support cannot decompose into genuinely independent inductive increments, undermining the claim that Bayesian updating constitutes a principled generalization of deductive confirmation.
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David Miller is a philosopher who collaborated with Popper on problems about how evidence supports scientific theories.
Popper
# Popper
Karl Popper was a highly influential 20th-century philosopher who changed how we think about science and knowledge. He argued that the best way to test scientific ideas is to try to prove them *wrong* rather than prove them right—if something can't be proven false, it's not really science. His ideas shaped modern scientific practice and remain central to how scientists evaluate theories today.
Principled generalization(in logical reasoning)
A systematic, rule-based way of extending an idea from one area to another, rather than doing it arbitrarily.
probabilistic support(Turing Test interpretations)
Evidence that raises the likelihood of intelligence attribution without constituting a logical guarantee