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    Posterior probability depends on both likelihood and prio... — Carmelics
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    Supports→If the prior probability that the analogue system shares relevant causal structure with the target is itself unjustified, evidence from the analogue cannot rescue the inference from Dutch Book vulnerability.

    Posterior probability depends on both likelihood and prior; a defective prior contaminates all downstream conclusions regardless of new evidence.

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    If the prior probability that the analogue system shares relevant causal structu...

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