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    So-called 'world Bayesian' versions of decision theory, s... — Carmelics
    Home/Consequentialism
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    Challenges→Elster's move from methodological individualism to the instrumental conception of rationality is based upon a non sequitur

    So-called 'world Bayesian' versions of decision theory, such as Richard Jeffrey's, do not impose an instrumental conception of rationality because they permit agents to have preferences over their own actions

    ConsequentialismTruth & Knowledge
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    Topics

    ConsequentialismTruth & Knowledge

    Key Terms

    Bayesian
    # Bayesian Bayesian refers to a way of thinking about probability and uncertainty that starts with what you already believe, then updates that belief as you get new evidence. Rather than treating probability as just counting how often something happens, it treats it as a measure of how confident you are about something. This approach is named after Thomas Bayes, an 18th-century mathematician, and it's widely used today in everything from medical testing to spam filters because it mirrors how humans naturally learn and change their minds.
    Decision theory(the main subject being discussed)
    A branch of philosophy and mathematics that studies how people should make choices when facing different options with uncertain outcomes.

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    Browse more in Consequentialism
    Related propositions within the same area of thought.
    Preferences over actions(what world Bayesian theories allow agents to have)
    Your direct desires about what you want to do, separate from what you want to achieve as a result.
    Richard Jeffrey(the statement is about his theory)
    A 20th-century philosopher who studied how people update their beliefs when they learn new information, and he developed an important theory about it called probability kinematics.
    agents(referring to people in this philosophical discussion)
    People, or more broadly, any thinking being capable of having beliefs and making decisions.
    instrumental conception of rationality(Elster's version of rational choice theory)
    A conception of rationality (also called homo economicus) according to which actions are valued and chosen not for themselves, but as more or less efficient means to a further end
    rationality(Traditional conception being challenged by epistemic relativists)
    A cognitive virtue and hallmark of the scientific method, intimately tied to requirements of consistency, justification, warrant, and evidence for beliefs.

    Connections

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    Moral Responsibility1 linked

    Related

    Elster claims that utility-maximization implies instrumentalism, but this claim ...Elster's move from methodological individualism to the instrumental conception o...Whether utility-maximization implies instrumentalism depends upon which version ...

    Similar

    Global rationality is a reasonable normative standard but problematic ...81%Global rationality fails to adequately describe actual human judgment ...81%Causal decision theory's recommendations are independent of how a deci...79%Rational choice theory is only one possible model of rational action t...79%

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    SEP: methodological-individualism
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    Elster does not draw as sharp a distinction as he might have between the commitment to methodological individualism and the commitment to rational choice theory. Indeed, he also assumes that the latter flows directly from the former. The version of rational choice theory that Elster endorses, however, is one that is based upon a traditional instrumental (or homo economicus) conception of rationality, according to which “actions are valued and chosen not for themselves, but as more or less effici

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