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    Sober's analysis of the observation selection effect fails — Carmelics
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    Sober's analysis of the observation selection effect fails

    Natural Theology
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    • 1.Sober identifies the observation selection effect with the conjunction 'We exist, and if we exist, the constants must be right'
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    • 2.The weaker, purely conditional statement 'If we exist, the constants must be right' suffices to capture the observation selection effect
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    • 3.Sober's stronger formulation incorrectly identifies what the observation selection effect amounts to
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    Natural Theology

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    Sober identifies the observation selection effect with the conjunction 'We exist...

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    Sober's stronger formulation incorrectly identifies what the observation selecti...
    The weaker, purely conditional statement 'If we exist, the constants must be rig...

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    Sober's stronger formulation incorrectly identifies what the observati...88%Under this interpretation of the observation selection effect, there i...80%The observation selection effect is correctly identified as the purely...79%Sober identifies the observation selection effect with the conjunction...77%

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    According to Weisberg, Sober’s analysis fails due to its incorrect identification of the observation selection effect OSE with “We exist, and if we exist, the constants must be right”. Weisberg argues that the weaker, purely conditional, statement “If we exist, the constants must be right” (Weisberg 2005: 819, Weisberg’s wording differs) suffices to capture the observation selection effect. But if we interpret “OSE” as this statement, there is no reason to suppose that the inequality \(\eqref{os
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    Validity: Extracted via Max plan + API grounding/validity checks

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