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    Carmelics

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    LoyalLoyalJusticeJustice
    Made withinDC&Austin
    Home/Original/inverse
    See Original
    Inverse View

    It is not the case that The dial-turning act was a cause of the explosion even though the explosion did not counterfactually depend on the dial-turning act

    ?Set your confidence on the premises below to see your aggregate.

    Reasons For

    1 perspective
    Reason for
    ?
    • 1.Turning the dial up increased the chance of the bomb exploding
      ?

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    • 2.Had the dial not been turned up, the bomb would merely have been very unlikely to explode, not certain not to explode
      ?

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    • 3.The bomb exploded
      ?

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    Reasons Against

    2 perspectives
    Reason against 1 of 2
    ?
    • 1.Causal relevance requires only that an action raise the probability of an outcome, not that it be necessary for that outcome (Eells 1991).
      ?

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    • 2.The dial-turning act raised the objective chance of explosion, making it a probabilistic cause even under indeterministic overdetermination.
      ?

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    • 3.Lewis's own later work (2004) defines causation via influence, where altering the manner of C alters the manner of E, satisfied here by degree of certainty.
      ?

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    Reason against 2 of 2
    ?
    • 1.Counterfactual dependence is sufficient but not necessary for causation; process continuity independently grounds causal claims (Salmon 1984).
      ?

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    • 2.The dial-turning act initiated a continuous physical process—a specific causal mechanism—connecting it to the explosion regardless of alternative pathways.
      ?

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