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    Carmelics

    A reasoning platform. Break down any belief into clear reasons, explore both sides, and weigh the evidence honestly.

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    LoyalLoyalJusticeJustice
    Made withinDC&Austin
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    Perspectives
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    Home/Original/inverse
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    Inverse View

    It is not the case that The existence of God is more probable than not (P-inductive cumulative case)

    ?Set your confidence on the premises below to see your aggregate.

    Reasons For

    2 perspectives
    Reason for 1 of 2
    ?
    • 1.Each purported evidence strand (cosmological, teleological, experiential) is independently explicable by naturalistic hypotheses without invoking God.
      ?

      Think about whether this reason is strong or weak

    • 2.When multiple weak arguments each fail to independently establish their conclusion, their conjunction does not exceed the probability threshold—Mackie's 'accumulation of failures' objection applies.
      ?

      Think about whether this reason is strong or weak

    • 3.A cumulative case requires that the evidential strands be genuinely independent, but theistic arguments share circular background assumptions that inflate apparent convergence.
      ?

      Think about whether this reason is strong or weak

    Reason for 2 of 2
    ?
    • 1.The prior probability of a being with infinite or maximal properties is, on Bayesian grounds, extremely low, as Sobel and Oppy argue regarding the intrinsic improbability of such a stipulated entity.
      ?

      Think about whether this reason is strong or weak

    • 2.Negative evidence—gratuitous suffering, religious diversity, divine hiddenness—constitutes counter-evidence that, when added to the cumulative calculus, plausibly outweighs the positive strands Mitchell and Swinburne cite.
      ?

      Think about whether this reason is strong or weak

    Reasons Against

    1 perspective
    Reason against
    ?
    • 1.The existence of the universe provides some evidence for God's existence
      ?

      Think about whether this reason is strong or weak

    • 2.The orderliness of the universe provides some evidence for God's existence
      ?

      Think about whether this reason is strong or weak

    • 3.The existence of consciousness provides some evidence for God's existence
      ?

      Think about whether this reason is strong or weak

    Next step

    Based on where you are in your exploration

    Strongest counterpoint
    Explore the most compelling reason on the other side.