The gap between what omni-theism leads us to expect and what we observe is a genuine likelihood differential that favors source physicalism by Bayesian inference, as argued by Paul Draper's evidential asymmetry framework.

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Bayesian inference(the reasoning method being used to evaluate the two worldviews): A logical method for updating your beliefs based on new evidence: if new evidence fits better with one explanation than another, you should shift your confidence toward that explanation.
Evidential asymmetry framework(the specific philosophical approach being referenced): Draper's argument that pain and suffering in the world is easier to explain if there's no all-powerful, all-good God (physicalism) than if there is (omni-theism), making this a reason to doubt God's existence.
Likelihood differential(comparing how well different worldviews predict what we see): A difference in how probable or likely something is under two different scenarios; if one scenario makes an observation much more likely than another scenario does, that's a big likelihood differential.
Paul Draper(the philosopher whose framework this argument builds on)

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