Skip to content
Carmelics
TopicsThinkersChangesContributorsLoading account…

    Carmelics

    A reasoning platform. Break down any belief into clear reasons, explore both sides, and weigh the evidence honestly.

    Navigate

    • Topics
    • Search
    • Recent Changes
    • Contribute
    • How It Works
    • Glossary
    • Thinkers
    • Contributors
    • About
    • Statistics
    • Terms
    • Privacy

    Database

    Statements
    —
    Perspectives
    —
    Topics
    —

    Press ? for keyboard shortcuts

    LoyalLoyalJusticeJustice
    Made withinDC&Austin
    Statements
    321,452
    Perspectives
    108,905
    Topics
    42
    The logical gap between 'the procedure traps the true val... — Carmelics
    Home
    HistoryEditSee Inverse

    Part of a larger discussion

    Challenges→Fiducial probability can give classical statistics an epistemic status

    The logical gap between 'the procedure traps the true value 95% of the time' and '95% probability the parameter lies here' requires exactly the prior-free inference fiducial claims to achieve, making the derivation circular.

    ?Rate how convincing each reason is below to see the overall strength.

    No one has weighed in yet. Be the first to share reasons for or against this statement.

    Sign in or register to share your perspective on this statement.

    Key Terms

    Circular reasoning(the trap that occurs when trying to define counterfactuals)
    A logical mistake where you use the very thing you're trying to prove as part of your argument, like saying 'I'm trustworthy because I said I am'—this goes in circles and doesn't actually explain anything.
    Fiducial(as used in statistics)
    A statistical approach that tries to assign probabilities to unknown values based purely on observed data, without needing to assume anything beforehand.
    Logical gap(as used in logic)
    A break or disconnect in reasoning where a conclusion doesn't necessarily follow from the premises that come before it.
    Parameter(in physics and mathematics)
    A variable or setting that you can adjust or change in an experiment or model—like the knobs on a machine that affect what happens.

    Next step

    Based on where you are in your exploration

    Explore a random proposition
    Start fresh with something unrelated.
    Prior-free inference(as used in statistics and philosophy of statistics)
    A method of drawing conclusions from data that doesn't rely on any pre-existing assumptions or background beliefs about what's likely.
    derivation(Used to distinguish arbitrary proofs from proofs grounded in agreed and plausible premises)
    A logical proof of a proposition produced from a set of premises and rules of inference

    Connections

    2 topics

    Truth & Knowledge1 linkedSkepticism1 linked

    Related

    Fiducial probability can give classical statistics an epistemic status

    Details

    Type
    claim
    Perspectives
    0 (0 for, 0 against)
    Edits
    1 edit

    Open for perspectives

    This idea is waiting for its first supporting or challenging perspective.

    Share the first perspective