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    The probability that the ticket has won is very low, thou... — Carmelics
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    Supports→The Knowledge Norm of Assertion (KNA) explains why asserting a proposition on merely probabilistic grounds is unacceptable

    The probability that the ticket has won is very low, though non-zero

    Philosophy of LanguageTruth & Knowledge
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    Philosophy of LanguageTruth & Knowledge

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    A asserts that B's lottery ticket has won based only on probabilistic groundsA does not know that the proposition is trueIt is intuitively incorrect for A to tell B that the ticket has won under these ...KNA holds that one should assert a proposition only if one knows it

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    No probability short of 1 authorizes A's utterance of the propositionThe Knowledge Norm of Assertion (KNA) explains why asserting a proposition on me...

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    Similarly, (KNA) seems well positioned to explain the oddity of asserting (27) merely on probabilistic grounds. Suppose that a (fair) lottery with a large number of tickets has been held; only one ticket has won. B has a ticket, but neither A nor B knows the result. A asserts (27) on merely probabilistic grounds. Although the probability that the ticket has won is very low (and one can get it arbitrarily low, short of zero, by increasing the number of tickets in the lottery), it is intuiti

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