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    Treating risk as an outcome component conflates the epist... — Carmelics
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    Challenges→If an agent is averse to risk, the risk generated by a risky act must be included in each of that act's possible outcomes

    Treating risk as an outcome component conflates the epistemic status of uncertainty with the metaphysical content of what actually obtains, a category error Luce and Raiffa's 1957 analysis explicitly warns against.

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    Key Terms

    Category error(as used in logic and philosophy of language)
    A logical mistake where you apply a rule or concept to something it doesn't actually fit, like using a math formula on a poem.
    Epistemic status(in epistemology (the study of knowledge))
    How certain or justified we are in believing something is true. It's asking: 'Do we really know this, or are we just guessing?'
    Luce and Raiffa(cited as the source of the warning about confusing uncertainty with outcomes)
    Two mathematicians (Duncan Luce and Howard Raiffa) who wrote an influential 1957 book about decision-making and risk analysis that's still considered foundational.
    Risk as an outcome component(the specific way of thinking that the statement says is problematic)
    The idea that risk is just a part of what actually happens (an outcome), rather than something about our uncertainty or lack of knowledge.

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    metaphysical(Ayer's Logical Positivist usage)
    Language that purports to refer beyond the physical world and lacks empirical consequences, which Ayer classifies as not literally significant
    uncertainty(Adams's alternative definition of probabilistic validity)
    Given a probability function Pr, the uncertainty U(A) of a sentence A is defined as 1−Pr(A).

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    Consequentialism1 linkedMoral Responsibility1 linked

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    If an agent is averse to risk, the risk generated by a risky act must be include...

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