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    Under the classical interpretation, all possibilities rec... — Carmelics
    Home/Natural Theology
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    Challenges→The classical interpretation of probability yields implausible and contradictory results when applied generally.

    Under the classical interpretation, all possibilities receive equal weight.

    Natural Theology
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    A lottery ticket either wins or does not win, so each possibility would have pro...The classical interpretation of probability yields implausible and contradictory...Yet the actual probability of winning a lottery is one-in-a-million, not 1/2.

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    Morris 1994 is sympathetic to (1), while Hacking 1972 finds it “a monstrous premiss” (189). One way to defend it is via the classical interpretation of probability, according to which all possibilities are given equal weight. The interpretation seems attractive for various gambling games, which by design involve an evidential symmetry with respect to their outcomes; and Pascal even likens God’s existence to a coin toss, evidentially speaking. However, unless more is said, the interpretation yiel

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