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    Van Fraassen's conditionalization objection applies to an... — Carmelics
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    Challenges→Analogue confirmation is not vulnerable to the Dutch Book logical difficulties that affect ampliative rules

    Van Fraassen's conditionalization objection applies to any rule that licenses probability increases beyond what strict conditionalization warrants, including mapping-based inferences.

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    Key Terms

    Conditionalization objection(the specific critique being referenced)
    Van Fraassen's argument that the standard rule for updating beliefs (conditionalization) doesn't account for all the ways we actually should change our minds when learning new things.
    Mapping-based inferences(an example of a method that goes beyond strict conditionalization)
    A way of updating your beliefs by using a systematic method or pattern (a 'map') to determine how probabilities should change, rather than just using the standard conditionalization rule.
    Van Fraassen(the philosopher whose theory is being discussed)
    Bas van Fraassen is a contemporary philosopher who studies how we understand questions and knowledge. He developed influential ideas about how questions work and what it means to explain things.
    conditionalization(Bayesian epistemology)
    The process of updating prior beliefs to interim beliefs by conditioning on the agent's hard information

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    licenses(as used in logic and argumentation)
    In philosophy, this means 'permits' or 'justifies'—it refers to what a principle or rule actually allows us to conclude.
    probability(as used in mathematics and logic)
    A number between 0 and 1 that describes how likely something is to happen; 0.5 means 50% chance, 1 means certain, 0 means impossible.
    strict conditionalization(Bayesian epistemology)
    A rule for updating subjective probabilities in which, upon learning evidence E with certainty, an agent sets their new probability for any proposition H to the prior conditional probability P(H|E)

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    Analogue confirmation is not vulnerable to the Dutch Book logical difficulties t...

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