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It is not the case that We may in future be in a position to mount a credible argument for or against determinism
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Reasons For
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Reason for 1 of 2
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1.
The determinism question concerns the nomological structure of reality, which underdetermines any finite body of empirical evidence.
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2.
No Final Theory, however empirically adequate, can rule out empirically equivalent indeterministic rivals (van Fraassen's constructive empiricism).
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3.
Therefore, improved physical knowledge cannot dissolve the underdetermination that blocks a credible argument for or against determinism.
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Reason for 2 of 2
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1.
Earman's own analysis in 'A Primer on Determinism' shows determinism fails even in classical mechanics due to Newtonian supertasks and Norton's dome.
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2.
If determinism is already undermined within well-understood theories, appeals to a future Final Theory presuppose theoretical convergence that is not guaranteed.
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Reasons Against
1 perspective
Reason against
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1.
Arguments for or against determinism can be grounded in features we think the Final Theory must have
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2.
Our knowledge of what features the Final Theory must have may improve over time
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Next step
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Strongest counterpoint
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