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    When credences are forced by symmetry constraints (van Fr... — Carmelics
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    Supports→An agent who is ignorant about the color of a marble is thereby rendered very opinionated about whether the color is Blue.

    When credences are forced by symmetry constraints (van Fraassen's Reflection and symmetry arguments), the agent's doxastic state is fully determined by the partition structure, not by genuine neutrality.

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    Key Terms

    Genuine neutrality(epistemology)
    A true state of having no preference or bias—when beliefs aren't influenced by anything except the actual evidence available.
    Partition structure(formal epistemology and decision theory)
    A way of dividing up possible scenarios or outcomes into distinct groups that don't overlap, used to represent how an agent organizes information.
    Symmetry constraints(as used in physics and mathematics)
    Rules or requirements that certain patterns or relationships must stay the same under specific transformations or changes.
    credences(Bayesian probability)
    Degrees of belief held by an agent, identified in the Dutch Book argument with the agent's betting prices
    doxastic state(as used in epistemology)

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    A mental condition involving what you believe; basically, what's going on in your mind when you hold a belief.
    van Fraassen's Reflection(philosophy of probability and belief)
    A principle developed by philosopher Bas van Fraassen that says your future beliefs should match your current beliefs about what you'll believe in the future.

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    An agent who is ignorant about the color of a marble is thereby rendered very op...

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