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    When multiple religions each promise infinite reward excl... — Carmelics
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    Challenges→The argument from expectation for believing in God succeeds regardless of the specific probability assigned to God's existence

    When multiple religions each promise infinite reward exclusively to their adherents, the expected value calculation becomes indeterminate across infinitely many competing hypotheses.

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    Key Terms

    Adherents(as used in religious philosophy)
    People who follow or believe in a particular religion, philosophy, or ideology.
    Competing hypotheses(other beliefs being compared to theism)
    Different possible explanations for the same thing. For instance, 'God created the universe' and 'the universe emerged from physics alone' are competing hypotheses.
    Expected value(the frequentist measure of what to expect)
    The average outcome you'd predict if you repeated something many times, calculated by weighing each possible result by how likely it is.
    Indeterminate(Reichenbach's three-valued quantum logic)
    The value of propositions that quantum theory implies cannot be assessed to be either true or false
    Pascal's Wager

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    (Pascal's own framing of the Wager's role)
    An instrumental argument intended as a first step toward genuine religious faith, not as a substitute for it.

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    Natural Theology1 linked

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    The argument from expectation for believing in God succeeds regardless of the sp...

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