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    A hypothesis endorsed by millions for centuries (e.g., ge... — Carmelics
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    Challenges→Outlandish theistic hypotheses should be assigned lower probability than Pascal's God.

    A hypothesis endorsed by millions for centuries (e.g., geocentrism) can still be less probable than a newer, better-supported rival.

    ?Rate how convincing each reason is below to see the overall strength.
    1 reason for
    1 reason against

    Reasons For

    1 perspective
    Reason for
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    • 1.Truth depends on evidence quality, not consensus duration. Geocentrism lacked predictive power despite widespread agreement.
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    • 2.Scientific method improves hypothesis evaluation over time through better instruments, mathematics, and experimental design.
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    • 3.Historical consensus often reflected institutional power and limited data access, not epistemic superiority of older views.
      ?

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    Reasons Against

    1 perspective
    Reason against
    ?
    • 1.Millenia of refinement means geocentrism incorporated vast observational data; dismissing it assumes new frameworks are inherently better.
      ?

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    • 2.We cannot be certain current theories won't face similar revision, making claims about 'better support' potentially overconfident.
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    Natural Theology1 linked

    Related

    Historical consensus often reflected institutional power and limited data access...Millenia of refinement means geocentrism incorporated vast observational data; d...Outlandish theistic hypotheses should be assigned lower probability than Pascal'...Scientific method improves hypothesis evaluation over time through better instru...
    +2 moreShow less
    Truth depends on evidence quality, not consensus duration. Geocentrism lacked pr...We cannot be certain current theories won't face similar revision, making claims...

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    claim
    Perspectives
    2 (1 for, 1 against)
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    1 edit