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    Aesthetic deism can win the evidential race against omni-... — Carmelics
    Home/Natural Theology
    HistoryEditSee Inverse

    Aesthetic deism can win the evidential race against omni-theism by accumulating evidential support faster, even if both hypotheses begin with equal intrinsic probability.

    Natural Theology
    ?Rate how convincing each reason is below to see the overall strength.
    2 reasons for
    1 reason against

    Reasons For

    2 perspectives
    Reason for 1 of 2
    ?
    • 1.The problem of evil provides stronger evidence for aesthetic deism than omni-theism, since gratuitous suffering fits a narrative-driven deity better than an omni-benevolent one.
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    • 2.Rowe's evidential argument shows that pointless suffering is antecedently more probable given no omni-benevolent God, giving aesthetic deism a systematic evidential advantage on this data.
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    • 3.Each instance of apparently gratuitous evil thus shifts posterior probability toward aesthetic deism, constituting precisely the faster evidential accumulation the claim requires.
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    Reason for 2 of 2
    ?
    • 1.Leibniz's best-of-all-possible-worlds theodicy concedes that the actual world contains features optimized for richness and variety rather than minimized suffering, aligning with aesthetic deism's predictions.
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    • 2.If the world's observable structure better fits an aesthetically motivated deity's expectations than a morally perfect one's, Bayesian conditionalization favors aesthetic deism with each confirming observation.
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    Reasons Against

    1 perspective
    Reason against
    ?
    • 1.A hypothesis can defeat a rival not only by having higher prior probability, but by gaining evidential support more rapidly.
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    • 2.Aesthetic deism is defined to be nearly identical to omni-theism in order to ensure equal intrinsic probability.
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    • 3.Aesthetic deism differs from omni-theism only in the deity's motivations, prioritizing aesthetic goods over moral ones.
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    Topics

    Natural Theology

    Connections

    3 topics

    Truth & Knowledge1 linkedDivine Attributes1 linkedAesthetics1 linked

    Related

    A deity motivated by aesthetic or narrative values would make different predicti...A hypothesis can defeat a rival not only by having higher prior probability, but...Aesthetic deism differs from omni-theism only in the deity's motivations, priori...Aesthetic deism is defined to be nearly identical to omni-theism in order to ens...
    +5 moreShow less
    Each instance of apparently gratuitous evil thus shifts posterior probability to...If the world's observable structure better fits an aesthetically motivated deity...

    Similar

    The evidential force of general facts favoring omni-theism over source...82%Aesthetic deism and omni-theism can be assigned equal intrinsic prior ...82%Aesthetic deism is defined to be nearly identical to omni-theism in or...80%An alternative hypothesis to omni-theism is many times more probable t...79%

    Source

    AI-extracted1/3 agreementValid
    SEP: atheism-agnosticism
    View source passageHide passage
    An alternative strategy is to find a runner that begins the race tied with omni-theism, but runs the race for evidential support much faster than omni-theism does, thus once again winning the race by a margin that is sufficiently large for the rest of the argument to go through. A good name for an argument pursuing this second strategy is the “decisive evidence argument”. The choice of alternative hypothesis is crucial here just as it was in the low priors argument. One promising choice is “aest
    Extraction notes

    Validity: Extracted via Max plan + API grounding/validity checks

    Details

    Leibniz's best-of-all-possible-worlds theodicy concedes that the actual world co...
    Rowe's evidential argument shows that pointless suffering is antecedently more p...
    The problem of evil provides stronger evidence for aesthetic deism than omni-the...
    Type
    claim
    Perspectives
    3 (2 for, 1 against)
    Edits
    1 edit