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    Carmelics

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    LoyalLoyalJusticeJustice
    Made withinDC&Austin
    Statements
    321,452
    Perspectives
    108,905
    Topics
    42
    Home/Original/inverse
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    Inverse View

    It is not the case that Aesthetic deism can win the evidential race against omni-theism by accumulating evidential support faster, even if both hypotheses begin with equal intrinsic probability.

    ?Set your confidence on the premises below to see your aggregate.

    Reasons For

    1 perspective
    Reason for
    ?
    • 1.A hypothesis can defeat a rival not only by having higher prior probability, but by gaining evidential support more rapidly.
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    • 2.Aesthetic deism is defined to be nearly identical to omni-theism in order to ensure equal intrinsic probability.
      ?

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    • 3.Aesthetic deism differs from omni-theism only in the deity's motivations, prioritizing aesthetic goods over moral ones.
      ?

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    Reasons Against

    2 perspectives
    Reason against 1 of 2
    ?
    • 1.The problem of evil provides stronger evidence for aesthetic deism than omni-theism, since gratuitous suffering fits a narrative-driven deity better than an omni-benevolent one.
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      Think about whether this reason is strong or weak

    • 2.Rowe's evidential argument shows that pointless suffering is antecedently more probable given no omni-benevolent God, giving aesthetic deism a systematic evidential advantage on this data.
      ?

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    • 3.Each instance of apparently gratuitous evil thus shifts posterior probability toward aesthetic deism, constituting precisely the faster evidential accumulation the claim requires.
      ?

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    Reason against 2 of 2
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    • 1.Leibniz's best-of-all-possible-worlds theodicy concedes that the actual world contains features optimized for richness and variety rather than minimized suffering, aligning with aesthetic deism's predictions.
      ?

      Think about whether this reason is strong or weak

    • 2.If the world's observable structure better fits an aesthetically motivated deity's expectations than a morally perfect one's, Bayesian conditionalization favors aesthetic deism with each confirming observation.
      ?

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    Strongest counterpoint
    Explore the most compelling reason on the other side.