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It is not the case that Analogical arguments cannot provide Bayesian confirmation of a hypothesis
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1.
Bayesian confirmation requires that evidence proposition E raises the conditional probability of hypothesis H relative to background knowledge K
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2.
The information contained in an analogical argument typically cannot be encapsulated in a single evidence proposition E
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3.
Even if such a proposition E can be formulated, the information it contains is already part of background knowledge K, making E·K equivalent to K and leaving Pr(H|E·K) equal to Pr(H|K)
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