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    Aumann's Theorem states that common knowledge of substant... — Carmelics
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    Supports→It cannot be common knowledge among A and B at state w that both A and B are substantively rational

    Aumann's Theorem states that common knowledge of substantive rationality implies play of the backward induction profile

    Free Will & ForeknowledgeTruth & Knowledge
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    Free Will & ForeknowledgeTruth & Knowledge

    Key Terms

    knowledge(Distinguished from mere true belief, which may be the product of indoctrination and need not exercise deliberative capacities.)
    Justified true belief — true belief that has been arrived at through the exercise of deliberative capacities, including comparison of and deliberation among alternatives.

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    It cannot be common knowledge among A and B at state w that both A and B are sub...The backward induction profile in the game is (I1I3, I2) leading to outcome o4 w...The epistemic model has a single state w where the strategy profile σ(w) = (O1I3...The strategy profile σ(w) = (O1I3, O2) is not the backward induction profile

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    The common knowledge of rationality assumption used in backward induct...85%Rationality and common knowledge of rationality in extensive games doe...85%The paradox of backward induction arises from building literally compl...84%Backward induction relies on a concept of rationality that assumes com...79%

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    SEP: epistemic-game
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    In the above game the backward induction profile is \((I_1I_3, I_2)\) leading to the outcome \(o_4\) with both players receiving a payoff of \(3\). Consider an epistemic model with a single state \(w\) where \(\sigma(w)=(O_1I_3,O_2)\). This is not the backward induction profile, and so, by Aumann’s Theorem (Theorem 4.7) it cannot be common knowledge among \(A\) and \(B\) at state \(w\) that both \(A\) and \(B\) are substantively rational.

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