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    Both alternative likelihood formulations evade the anthro... — Carmelics
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    Supports→The ur-probability solution to the fine-tuning argument successfully evades the anthropic objection

    Both alternative likelihood formulations evade the anthropic objection

    Natural Theology
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    The appropriate likelihood comparison under this approach is not Sober's OSE (wh...The ur-probability approach treats our existence as evidence taken into account ...The ur-probability solution to the fine-tuning argument successfully evades the ...

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    The ur-probability solution to the fine-tuning argument successfully e...83%The appropriate likelihood comparison under this approach is not Sober...75%Arguments from comparison of likelihoods are ubiquitous and accepted i...72%If the objection were legitimate, it would count equally against the u...70%

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    An advantage of approaching the argument from fine-tuning for design using the ur-probability solution is that it offers proponents of the argument a clear-cut rejection of the anthropic objection: as in Kotzen’s (2012) approach, the fact that we exist is treated not as background knowledge but as evidence taken into account by Bayesian conditioning. The appropriate comparison between likelihoods to consider is thus not Sober’s \(\eqref{ose}\)—at least not under Sober’s own interpretation of “OS

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