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    The appropriate likelihood comparison under this approach... — Carmelics
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    Supports→The ur-probability solution to the fine-tuning argument successfully evades the anthropic objection

    The appropriate likelihood comparison under this approach is not Sober's OSE (which includes 'We exist' as background) but rather alternative likelihood ratios that do not presuppose our existence

    Natural Theology
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    Natural Theology

    Key Terms

    OSE(Sober's treatment of the fine-tuning argument)
    Sober's likelihood comparison formulation for the fine-tuning argument, interpreted as including 'We exist' as background knowledge rather than as conditioned evidence
    Presuppose(what both foundationalisms supposedly do)
    To assume or take for granted something as true in order to make an argument work, without proving it first.
    Sober(named philosopher being referenced)
    Elliott Sober is a philosopher of science who developed important arguments about how to compare different explanations of why things exist or happen the way they do.

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    Related propositions within the same area of thought.
    background(assumptions included in logical comparison)
    In philosophy, the facts and assumptions you're already taking for granted when you evaluate an argument or explanation.
    likelihood ratio(Used as an alternative to posterior probability as a measure of evidential strength in legal proof standards.)
    The ratio P(E|H) / P(E|H'), representing how much more probable the evidence E is given hypothesis H than given the alternative hypothesis H'.

    Related

    Both alternative likelihood formulations evade the anthropic objectionThe ur-probability approach treats our existence as evidence taken into account ...The ur-probability solution to the fine-tuning argument successfully evades the ...

    Similar

    Arguments from comparison of likelihoods are ubiquitous and accepted i...77%The ur-probability approach treats our existence as evidence taken int...75%Both alternative likelihood formulations evade the anthropic objection75%Pascal's Wager presupposes that one should have a probability for God'...75%

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    SEP: fine-tuning
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    An advantage of approaching the argument from fine-tuning for design using the ur-probability solution is that it offers proponents of the argument a clear-cut rejection of the anthropic objection: as in Kotzen’s (2012) approach, the fact that we exist is treated not as background knowledge but as evidence taken into account by Bayesian conditioning. The appropriate comparison between likelihoods to consider is thus not Sober’s \(\eqref{ose}\)—at least not under Sober’s own interpretation of “OS

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