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    Conditional on the value of the estimator, the parameters... — Carmelics
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    Supports→The distribution over the stochastic term epsilon can be transferred to the parameter theta around the estimator value, yielding a fiducial probability distribution over theta.

    Conditional on the value of the estimator, the parameters and the stochastic terms become perfectly correlated, so a distribution over the stochastic terms is automatically applicable to the parameters.

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    SkepticismTruth & Knowledge

    Key Terms

    Conditional on(as used in logic and reasoning)
    Depending on something else being true; something that only works if another requirement is met first.
    Distribution(as used in ethics and political philosophy)
    The way goods, money, opportunities, or resources are divided up among people in a society.
    Estimator(as used in statistics)

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    Related propositions within the same area of thought.
    A mathematical tool or formula that tries to guess the true value of something based on data you've collected.
    Parameters(as used in statistics and mathematics)
    The unknown numbers or values in a mathematical model that you're trying to figure out or understand.
    Perfectly correlated(as used in statistics)
    Two things move together in lockstep—when one goes up, the other always goes up by a predictable amount, or vice versa.
    Stochastic terms(as used in statistics and probability)
    Random or unpredictable parts of a mathematical model that represent chance or uncertainty in the system.

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    Modality & Possibility1 linked

    Related

    Relative to a fixed value of the estimator theta_hat, the distribution over epsi...The distribution over the stochastic term epsilon can be transferred to the para...The functional relation f(theta, epsilon) is smoothly invertible, such that f^{-...

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    When the distribution of the estimator has the same shape for all valu...81%The distribution over the stochastic term epsilon can be transferred t...75%Relative to a fixed value of the estimator theta_hat, the distribution...73%The distributional properties resulting from stochastic processes can ...73%

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    The idea of the fiducial argument can now be expressed succinctly. It is to project the distribution over the stochastic component back onto the possible parameter values. The key observation is that the functional relation \(f(\theta, \epsilon)\) is smoothly invertible, i.e., the function \[ f^{-1}(\hat{\theta}(s), \epsilon) = \hat{\theta}(s) - \epsilon = \theta \] points each combination of \(\hat{\theta}(s)\) and \(\epsilon\) to a unique parameter value \(\theta\). Hence, we can invert the

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