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    When the distribution of the estimator has the same shape... — Carmelics
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    Supports→We can derive a probability distribution P(θ) over the true mean θ on the basis of a sample s without assuming a prior probability.

    When the distribution of the estimator has the same shape for all values of the parameter, the distribution over the estimator can be used as a stand-in for the distribution over the true value.

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    Truth & Knowledge

    Key Terms

    Distribution(as used in ethics and political philosophy)
    The way goods, money, opportunities, or resources are divided up among people in a society.
    Estimator(as used in statistics)
    A mathematical tool or formula that tries to guess the true value of something based on data you've collected.
    Parameter(in physics and mathematics)
    A variable or setting that you can adjust or change in an experiment or model—like the knobs on a machine that affect what happens.
    Stand-in (or surrogate)

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    Related propositions within the same area of thought.
    (in reasoning and substitution)
    Something you can use in place of something else because it's close enough for practical purposes—like using a sample of 1,000 people's opinions to represent what all Americans think.

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    Related

    The maximum likelihood estimator for θ is the sample average θ̂(s) = Σ Xᵢ / n.This distribution of the estimator has the same shape for all values of θ.Under an assumed true value θ, the estimator θ̂(s) has a normal distribution cen...We can derive a probability distribution P(θ) over the true mean θ on the basis ...

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    This distribution of the estimator has the same shape for all values o...83%Relative to a fixed value of the estimator theta_hat, the distribution...81%Conditional on the value of the estimator, the parameters and the stoc...81%Under an assumed true value θ, the estimator θ̂(s) has a normal distri...74%

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    SEP: statistics
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    To explain the fiducial argument we first set up a simple example. Say that we estimate the mean \(\theta\) of a normal distribution with unit variance over a variable \(X\). We collect a sample \(s\) consisting of measurements \(X_{1}, X_{2}, \ldots X_{n}\). The maximum likelihood estimator for \(\theta\) is the average value of the \(X_{i}\), that is, \(\hat{\theta}(s) = \sum_{i} X_{i} / n\). Under an assumed true value \(\theta\) we then have a normal distribution for the estimator \(\hat{\

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