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    Carmelics

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    LoyalLoyalJusticeJustice
    Made withinDC&Austin
    Statements
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    Home/Original/inverse
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    Inverse View

    It is not the case that Hume's epistemological principle holds that testimony for miraculous events must be weighed against the base-rate probability of natural alternatives, including fraud, misperception, and confabulation.

    ?Set your confidence on the premises below to see your aggregate.

    Reasons For

    1 perspective
    Reason for
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    • 1.Base-rate frequency arguments assume miracles are antecedently impossible, but this begs the question against theistic worldviews.
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    • 2.Eyewitness reliability varies dramatically by context; well-corroborated, immediate testimonies differ fundamentally from distant reports.
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    • 3.Hume's principle conflates statistical improbability with epistemic unreliability; unique events can still be well-evidenced.
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    Reasons Against

    1 perspective
    Reason against
    ?
    • 1.Natural explanations (hallucination, fraud, memory error) occur frequently in human experience; miracles by definition are extraordinarily rare.
      ?

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    • 2.Bayesian reasoning requires that extraordinary claims demand proportionally stronger evidence to overcome prior probabilities.
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    • 3.Multiple documented cases show eyewitness testimony fails even for ordinary events; miracle claims deserve heightened scrutiny.
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