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    Humean Best Systems accounts (Lewis, Loewer) ground objec... — Carmelics
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    Challenges→Justifying measures on sets of spacetime models as measures of objective chance in a cosmological setting is especially difficult.

    Humean Best Systems accounts (Lewis, Loewer) ground objective chance in patterns across the mosaic without requiring repeated trials or physical mechanisms.

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    Reasons For

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    Reason for
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    • 1.Objective chance requires grounding in the actual world; Best Systems avoids fictitious infinite trials or unobserved mechanisms.
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    • 2.Systems that maximize simplicity and informativeness capture genuine patterns; chance emerges naturally from these optimal descriptions.
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    • 3.This account explains why chance guides rational credence without positing hidden causal machinery beyond the complete physical mosaic.
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    Reasons Against

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    • 1.Optimality criteria for 'best systems' (simplicity vs. informativeness) are theory-laden; different weightings yield different chance values.
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    • 2.Chance appears fundamentally about physical propensities and generative capacities; pattern-fitting descriptions seem epistemically derivative, not metaphysically fundamental.
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    • 3.The approach struggles with systems where multiple equally-optimal descriptions assign different probabilities to identical physical situations.
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    Modality & Possibility1 linkedSkepticism1 linked

    Related

    Chance appears fundamentally about physical propensities and generative capaciti...Justifying measures on sets of spacetime models as measures of objective chance ...Objective chance requires grounding in the actual world; Best Systems avoids fic...Optimality criteria for 'best systems' (simplicity vs. informativeness) are theo...
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    Systems that maximize simplicity and informativeness capture genuine patterns; c...The approach struggles with systems where multiple equally-optimal descriptions ...This account explains why chance guides rational credence without positing hidde...

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    2 (1 for, 1 against)
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