Skip to content
Carmelics
TopicsThinkersChangesContributorsLoading account…

    Carmelics

    A reasoning platform. Break down any belief into clear reasons, explore both sides, and weigh the evidence honestly.

    Navigate

    • Topics
    • Search
    • Recent Changes
    • Contribute
    • How It Works
    • Glossary
    • Thinkers
    • Contributors
    • About
    • Statistics
    • Terms
    • Privacy

    Database

    Statements
    —
    Perspectives
    —
    Topics
    —

    Press ? for keyboard shortcuts

    LoyalLoyalJusticeJustice
    Made withinDC&Austin
    Statements
    321,452
    Perspectives
    108,905
    Topics
    42
    Home/Original/inverse
    See Original
    Inverse View

    It is not the case that Humean Best Systems accounts (Lewis, Loewer) ground objective chance in patterns across the mosaic without requiring repeated trials or physical mechanisms.

    ?Set your confidence on the premises below to see your aggregate.

    Reasons For

    1 perspective
    Reason for
    ?
    • 1.Optimality criteria for 'best systems' (simplicity vs. informativeness) are theory-laden; different weightings yield different chance values.
      ?

      Think about whether this reason is strong or weak

    • 2.Chance appears fundamentally about physical propensities and generative capacities; pattern-fitting descriptions seem epistemically derivative, not metaphysically fundamental.
      ?

      Think about whether this reason is strong or weak

    • 3.The approach struggles with systems where multiple equally-optimal descriptions assign different probabilities to identical physical situations.
      ?

      Think about whether this reason is strong or weak

    Reasons Against

    1 perspective
    Reason against
    ?
    • 1.Objective chance requires grounding in the actual world; Best Systems avoids fictitious infinite trials or unobserved mechanisms.
      ?

      Think about whether this reason is strong or weak

    • 2.Systems that maximize simplicity and informativeness capture genuine patterns; chance emerges naturally from these optimal descriptions.
      ?

      Think about whether this reason is strong or weak

    • 3.This account explains why chance guides rational credence without positing hidden causal machinery beyond the complete physical mosaic.
      ?

      Think about whether this reason is strong or weak

    Next step

    Based on where you are in your exploration

    Strongest counterpoint
    Explore the most compelling reason on the other side.