Skip to content
Carmelics
TopicsThinkersChangesContributorsLoading account…

    Carmelics

    A reasoning platform. Break down any belief into clear reasons, explore both sides, and weigh the evidence honestly.

    Navigate

    • Topics
    • Search
    • Recent Changes
    • Contribute
    • How It Works
    • Glossary
    • Thinkers
    • Contributors
    • About
    • Statistics
    • Terms
    • Privacy

    Database

    Statements
    —
    Perspectives
    —
    Topics
    —

    Press ? for keyboard shortcuts

    LoyalLoyalJusticeJustice
    Made withinDC&Austin
    If Death cannot predict the man's choice, the probability... — Carmelics
    Statements
    321,452
    Perspectives
    108,905
    Topics
    42
    Home/Free Will & Foreknowledge
    HistoryEditSee Inverse

    Part of a larger discussion

    Supports→The mixed strategy of flipping a coin is self-ratifying in the Death in Damascus case.

    If Death cannot predict the man's choice, the probability distribution over locations (mixed strategy) maximizes expected utility given its realization.

    ConsequentialismFree Will & Foreknowledge
    ?Rate how convincing each reason is below to see the overall strength.

    No one has weighed in yet. Be the first to share reasons for or against this statement.

    Sign in or register to share your perspective on this statement.

    Topics

    Free Will & ForeknowledgeConsequentialism

    Connections

    1 topic

    Modality & Possibility3 linked

    Related

    Next step

    Based on where you are in your exploration

    Browse more in Free Will & Foreknowledge
    Related propositions within the same area of thought.
    An option is self-ratifying if it maximizes expected utility given its realizati...Death cannot predict the outcome of a coin flip.The mixed strategy of flipping a coin is self-ratifying in the Death in Damascus...

    Similar

    In the Death in Damascus scenario, whichever location the man chooses,...88%A player should use a mixed strategy when no pure strategy maximizes t...78%Expected-utility maximization is not the best general model of human d...76%Aggregated probabilities play a key role in calculations of expected u...75%

    Source

    AI-extracted
    SEP: decision-causal
    View source passageHide passage
    Weirich (1985) and Harper (1986) define ratification in terms of an option’s expected utility given its realization rather than given a decision to realize it. An option is self-ratifying if and only if it maximizes expected utility given its realization. This account of ratification accommodates cases in which an option and a decision to realize it have different expected utilities. Weirich and Harper also assume causal decision theory’s formula for expected utility. In the case of Death in Dam

    Details

    Type
    premise
    Perspectives
    0 (0 for, 0 against)
    Edits
    1 edit

    Open for perspectives

    This idea is waiting for its first supporting or challenging perspective.

    Share the first perspective