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It is not the case that If drift is merely a bookkeeping description of sampling variance rather than a productive cause, it cannot instantiate even a weakened force concept.
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Reasons For
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Reason for
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1.
Bookkeeping descriptions can instantiate forces: gravity reduces to spacetime curvature description, yet remains genuinely causally efficacious.
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2.
Sampling variance produces real, irreversible evolutionary change; effects indistinguishable from productive causes warrant causal status.
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3.
Weakened force concepts allow non-fundamental causation; drift's systematic directional bias (fixation bias) satisfies even strict causal criteria.
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Reasons Against
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Reason against
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1.
Productive causes generate novel states; sampling variance merely redistributes existing variation without creating new causal powers.
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2.
Force concepts require persistent directional efficacy; pure bookkeeping descriptions lack the systematic asymmetry forces exhibit.
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3.
If drift reduces to mathematical artifact rather than mechanism, it cannot satisfy minimal causal realism requirements for force attribution.
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