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    Our expectation that the future will conform to the past ... — Carmelics
    Statements
    321,452
    Perspectives
    108,905
    Topics
    42
    Home/Skepticism
    HistoryEditSee Inverse

    Our expectation that the future will conform to the past is determined by custom and habit, not by reason or logical necessity.

    Causation
    ?Rate how convincing each reason is below to see the overall strength.
    1 reason for
    2 reasons against

    Reasons For

    1 perspective
    Reason for
    ?
    • 1.When observing a billiard-ball moving toward another, the mind is carried by habit to anticipate the usual effect.
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    • 2.There is nothing in objects, considered abstractly and independent of experience, that leads to any conclusion about their future behavior.
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    • 3.Even after repeated experience of effects of a certain kind, no argument determines that future effects will conform to past experience.
      ?

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    Reasons Against

    2 perspectives
    Reason against 1 of 2
    ?
    • 1.Kant argued that causation is a pure concept of the understanding (category) that the mind imposes on experience a priori, not derived from it.
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    • 2.If causal necessity is a precondition for having coherent experience at all, then inductive expectation has a transcendental justification beyond mere habit.
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    • 3.Hume's argument presupposes a passive mind receiving impressions, but if the mind actively structures experience, the habit/reason dichotomy is false.
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    Reason against 2 of 2
    ?
    • 1.Peter Strawson's 'dissolution' argues that demanding a non-circular justification for induction sets an illegitimately high standard borrowed from deductive logic.
      ?

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    • 2.Inductive inference is constitutive of what we mean by 'rational belief formation' in empirical contexts, making it self-undermining to call it 'mere' habit.
      ?

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    • 3.If rationality in empirical domains just is responsiveness to evidence patterns, then custom-based inference satisfies the relevant standard of reason rather than falling short of it.
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    Topics

    SkepticismCausation

    Related

    Even after repeated experience of effects of a certain kind, no argument determi...Hume's argument presupposes a passive mind receiving impressions, but if the min...If causal necessity is a precondition for having coherent experience at all, the...If rationality in empirical domains just is responsiveness to evidence patterns,...
    +5 moreShow less
    Inductive inference is constitutive of what we mean by 'rational belief formatio...Kant argued that causation is a pure concept of the understanding (category) tha...Peter Strawson's 'dissolution' argues that demanding a non-circular justificatio...There is nothing in objects, considered abstractly and independent of experience...When observing a billiard-ball moving toward another, the mind is carried by hab...

    Similar

    The step of supposing the future will conform to the past is not deriv...85%Custom alone determines the mind to suppose the future will conform to...82%Any probable argument or argument regarding existence already presuppo...79%The supposition that the future resembles the past is not a necessary ...78%

    Source

    AI-extracted1/3 agreementValid
    SEP: hume-newton
    View source passageHide passage
    We are determined by custom alone to suppose the future conformable to the past. When I see a billiard-ball moving towards another, my mind is immediately carry’d by habit to the usual effect, and anticipates my sight by conceiving the second ball in motion. There is nothing in these objects, abstractly considered, and independent of experience, which leads me to form any such conclusion: and even after I have had experience of many repeated effects of this kind, there is no argument, which dete
    Extraction notes

    Validity: Extracted via Max plan + API grounding/validity checks

    Details

    Type
    claim
    Perspectives
    3 (1 for, 2 against)
    Edits
    1 edit